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Be Careful Out There

 From the National Weather Service


Loco Gato

Be safe, be free

 

http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=CAZ034&warncounty=CAC079&firewxzone=CAZ234&local_place1=5+Miles+NNW+San+Luis+Obispo+CA&product1=Hydrologic+Outlook




Hydrologic Outlook

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-191400-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
415 PM PST MON JAN 18 2010

...EXTENDED PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THROUGH
THIS WEEK FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...

A VERY POWERFUL WEST TO EAST JET STREAM WILL ALLOW A SERIES OF
STRONG STORM SYSTEMS TO CONTINUE TRACKING INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
THIS WEEK....BRINGING THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TO THE REGION.

THE FIRST STORM SYSTEM MOVED RAPIDLY THROUGH THE REGION TODAY
UNSTABLE AIR AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE BEHIND THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA AT
TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL THROUGH TONIGHT SHOULD BE
LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH FOR MOST AREAS...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
UP TO A THIRD OF AN INCH IN ANY HEAVIER SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL HEAVY RAIN PERSISTING...A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE 2008 AND 2009 BURN AREAS INCLUDING
THE MORRIS AND STATION BURN AREAS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

A WEAKER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE REGION TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE THIRD AND MOST LIKELY STRONGEST
STORM SYSTEM OF THE WEEK IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. A COLD AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP A
THREAT OF SHOWERS ON FRIDAY.

FOR THE ENTIRE WEEK...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE
EXPECTED IN COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS...AND 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER 20 INCHES WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAVORED SOUTH FACING COASTAL SLOPES. ACROSS THE
ANTELOPE VALLEY...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE FOOTHILLS. THIS
WILL LIKELY BE THE WETTEST WEEK SINCE EARLY 2005.

SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO FLUCTUATE BUT RANGE BETWEEN 4000 FEET
AND 6000 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN INCREASE TO ABOVE 7000 FEET
WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE FALLING BACK TO 4500 TO 5000 FEET THURSDAY...
AND TO 3500 TO 4000 FEET ON FRIDAY.

THE CUMULATIVE EFFECT OF THESE STORM SYSTEMS MAY BRING FLOODING
THREATS TO THE REGION ON A SCALE THAT HAS NOT BEEN SEEN SINCE 2005.
LARGE AMOUNTS OF EXPECTED PRECIPITATION...AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HIGH INTENSITY RAINFALL...WILL BRING THE THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT
FLASH FLOODING AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY DEBRIS FLOWS...ESPECIALLY TO
THE RECENT BURN AREAS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT OF URBAN AND
SMALL STREAM FLOODING AND NUMEROUS ROCKSLIDES...ESPECIALLY LATER IN
THE WEEK AS SOILS BECOME MORE SATURATED. AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES...
MOST STREAMS AND NORMALLY DRY WASHES WILL BE FLOWING. IF THE STRONG
STORM MATERIALIZES FOR THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY TIME
FRAME...THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING CONCERNS.

PERSONS LIVING IN AND CLOSE TO RECENTLY BURNED AREAS OR IN LOW-LYING
AREAS SUBJECT TO RIVER AND STREAM FLOODING SHOULD STAY TUNED FOR
LATER FORECASTS AND WARNINGS. LISTEN TO LOCAL NEWS MEDIA AND NOAA
WEATHER RADIO FOR UPDATES.

$$

SIRARD/BRUNO








High Surf Advisory

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
629 PM PST MON JAN 18 2010

...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE WEST FACING BEACHES OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES...

...A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE WEST FACING BEACHES OF SANTA
BARBARA SOUTH COAST...AND THE WEST FACING BEACHES OF VENTURA AND
LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 3 PM PST FRIDAY
FOR THE WEST FACING BEACHES OF SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA
COUNTIES...

...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM 3 AM PST TUESDAY
THROUGH 11 AM PST FRIDAY FOR THE WEST FACING BEACHES OF SANTA
BARBARA SOUTH COAST...AND THE WEST FACING BEACHES OF VENTURA AND
LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

.A SERIES OF STRONG PACIFIC STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS THIS WEEK. THIS WILL CAUSE A
SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THE WESTERLY SWELL...BRINGING DANGEROUS
SURF CONDITIONS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING ACROSS
WEST FACING BEACHES.

CAZ034-035-191300-
/O.CON.KLOX.SU.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-100122T2300Z/
/O.CON.KLOX.CF.A.0002.100119T1100Z-100121T1100Z/
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
629 PM PST MON JAN 18 2010

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST FRIDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM PST TUESDAY
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST FRIDAY. A
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM PST TUESDAY
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

HIGH SURF CONDITIONS WILL BUILD RAPIDLY TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...
THEN PEAK TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WHEN BREAKERS COULD REACH
AS HIGH AS 25 FEET.

THE VERY LARGE SURF COMBINED WITH PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS COULD
RESULT IN COASTAL FLOODING ISSUES FOR LOW LYING AREAS OF THE
CENTRAL COAST. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SUBSTANTIAL COASTAL FLOODING
WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH BEACH EROSION AND
PROPERTY DAMAGE POSSIBLE. ANY COASTAL FLOODING WOULD LIKELY OCCUR
NEAR THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

HIGH TIDES FOR PORT SAN LUIS...
TUESDAY...4.4 FEET AT 1137 AM.
WEDNESDAY...4.4 FEET AT 108 AM AND 3.9 FEET AT 1221 PM.
THURSDAY...4.5 FEET AT 141 AM.

THERE WILL BE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ON ALL AREA BEACHES THROUGH
MUCH OF THE WEEK AS WELL. EVEN THE MOST EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS
SHOULD STAY OUT OF THE WATER DURING THIS EVENT. ROCKS AND JETTIES
WILL BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AS WAVES CAN UNEXPECTEDLY SWEEP
PERSONS INTO THE WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$


3 comments:
gravatar
APN said...
January 19, 2010 at 6:37 AM  

Thanks for the heads up, I read about it from you first from this post before hearing it on the radio, so this report definitely worked as I was in the area.

gravatar
Felinae said...
January 19, 2010 at 8:27 AM  

Thank You, Loco Gato, you be careful as well.

The wind gusts in my area are getting pretty strong.

APN~you be safe out there on the roads. I know you will be, but it's the other drivers that bother me.

Both of you gentlemen have a good day and stay safe.

Smiles~Felinae~

gravatar
APN said...
January 19, 2010 at 10:30 AM  

Thanks, I'm in French Camp today, If I get stuck here I'll give Catman a call.

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